Monday, 3 July 2017

Re: Could Chip Unit Sale Be the Final Nail in Toshiba's Coffin?

but doesnt that mean the stock will go up?

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On Sat, Jul 1, 2017 at 10:15 PM, Michael Robinson <customerservice@strategictechinvestor.com> wrote:
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Strategic Tech Investor
July 1, 2017

Strategic Tech Investor - Member Edition

Dear Strategic Tech Investor,

If I was playing a one-word association game about Toshiba Corp. (OTCMKTS: TOSYY), that word would be: avoid.

Yes, Toshiba is getting ready to bring in billions from the sale of its chip unit...

And while such an influx of cash typically sounds good on the surface, it's actually detrimental.

Without its chip unit, Toshiba will have an identity crisis on its hands. When you look at other highly successful tech and electronics companies, that's never the case.

To me, this looks more like desperation than opportunity.

We also have to factor in the way that Toshiba's suitor - Western Digital Corp. (Nasdaq: WDC) - went about the whole deal.

To say that Western Digital came in under the wire with its offer is an understatement.

The Silicon Valley-based data storage company, along with its private equity partner KKR & Co. LP (NYSE: KKR), bid just hours before a key shareholders' meeting.

Western Digital, which already has a 49% stake in Toshiba's chip unit, wants to prevent Toshiba from signing a deal with a group led by the Japanese government.

Now, at the time of this writing, there isn't confirmation on how much capital Western Digital has put on the table to stop the other deal.

But, it's safe to assume it will top the supposed $18 billion offer already at stake.

However, it's important to note that such a sale doesn't change the fact that the company will remain desperately in need of funds.

Still reeling from a 2015 accounting scandal and now in danger of being delisted from Tokyo Stock Exchange, Toshiba has about $52 in outstanding stockholder equity out there. And it's obtusely pushing forward with a money-losing venture well outside of its core focus: a nuclear project in the United States.

That all means Toshiba is running out of time and realistic paths to remaining solvent through the end of next year.

The bottom line here is, I've been warning investors to steer clear of this management team for nearly two years.

Now more than ever, I don't see anything resembling strength in its operations strategy or any turnaround plan in the wake of this upcoming division sale.

Frankly, I'm unconvinced this team knows what it's doing at this point.

And that's exactly what I told the guests on CNBC's The Rundown this past week.

If you missed it, don't worry. I've included the entire interview for you to watch at your own convenience.
Just click here to watch the full video.

Have a great weekend...

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